IPAC Report: The Impact of the Taliban Victory on Indonesia’s Jemaah Islamiyah
The immediate blowback to Indonesia from the Taliban victory in Afghanistan is likely to be greater from pro-ISIS groups than from Jemaah Islamiyah (JI), the organization with the strongest historical ties to al-Qaeda.
Weakened by some 200 arrests in the past two years, JI has shown little interest in attacks, though it remains committed to military training for its cadres. Any new al-Qaeda camps for foreign fighters would be cause for concern. A more militant splinter, angered by the arrests and inspired by the Taliban success could emerge, despite a high level of police vigilance. However, a bigger risk is that one of the many pro-ISIS cells could be inspired by the Kabul airport attack of ISIS-K to try its hand at violence.
“The Impact of the Taliban Victory on Indonesia’s Jemaah Islamiyah,” the latest report from the Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict (IPAC), provides an in-depth examination of JI’s current status and possible future trajectory.
